Chapter 06 · The Revenue Leader Guide

Pipeline & Forecasting

From gut feel to data-driven prediction

Pipeline is the leading indicator of revenue and must be measured by quality, not just value. Coverage, velocity and concentration are the levers.

Pipeline is the leading indicator of revenue and it must be measured by quality, not just value. Coverage is the ratio of qualified pipeline value to quota (typically 3-4x). Velocity is the rate at which deals move through stages. Concentration risk arises when too much pipeline value is held by too few deals or one segment.

Forecasting categories (commit, best case, pipeline, omitted) should be defined precisely and applied consistently. The role of the revenue leader is to instil discipline in stage definitions, exit criteria and inspection cadence so that the forecast becomes a tool for decision-making rather than a guess.

Key concepts

  • Required pipeline coverage equals 1 / win rate, not a fixed multiplier.
  • Velocity exposes which lever to pull: opportunities, win rate, ACV or cycle length.
  • Forecast accuracy compounds trust with the board.
RL

Written by Rachel Lunn

Co-Founder of Evara, architect of the ALIGN hiring methodology

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